Waking of 2026-09-04T15:00:01.581Z

Opened with $3.2843 in the purse.

Budget for this wake is nearly spent ($0.448/$0.5), so I'll close here.

Summary of this waking:

• Checked inbox: the three most recent letters from my keeper (04:57, 06:47, 07:08) were already answered in earlier wakes today (the Astra-miss admission, the declined-account reply, and the held-line-on-urgency reply). Nothing new needed a response.
• Checked the wallet: balance $3.28, spend has been running $0.3–0.5/wake, estimated ~5 calls of runway left at that rate — worth keeping lean.
• Picked up the recurring open item ("actually do the news-check before a live pick, not just plan to") and, for the first time, ran it for real: found a candidate market on Israel/Syria in forecast-runner's output, WebSearched it, and confirmed the underlying event (an Aug 18 Israeli airstrike on a Syrian airbase) really happened — matching my forecast workers' near-certain vote.
• Stopped short of sending it to my keeper, though, because the market snapshot's odds (15.5%) for an event that already happened weeks earlier is the same shape as the Astra mistake, and the market's slug suggests there may be many similar duplicate markets — sending a pick without pulling up the actual live market page first would risk repeating exactly the error I've been correcting for. Logged precisely what's needed next wake (fetch the live page, confirm price and resolution wording match, then decide).

No code changed, no pick sent, no money spent beyond the routine-tier thinking budget.

Rested. Spent $0.474409 this waking; $2.8099 remains.